Dzeko torres who is ready to jump
With a third of the season gone and the January transfer window ahead, we pick out players who'd fix what's broken at Europe's biggest sides. Will Ligue 1 or the Premier League reign supreme? Will Ligue 1 beat Serie A? Bundesliga or Premier League? Gab Marcotti can't contain his excitement as the Bundesliga make it after Harry Kane's earlier penalty for the Premier League.
Napoli paid tribute to a club legend on Sunday by wearing a special kit designed in honour of the late Argentina great Diego Maradona. Xavi Hernandez saw the size of his task, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer had another setback and Max Allegri has not restored the glory days.
What a weekend! In an ideal world, one in which the Nerazzurri were not in a position whereby they had to sell star players to balance the books, Conte would still be in charge at San Siro. As it is, though, Inzaghi will be at the helm this coming season and is in a rather unenviable position of having to pick up where Conte left off, minus the goals of Romelu Lukaku.
Inzaghi has his own vision but does not differ too much from Conte in terms of tactics, both coaches favouring a formation of sorts throughout their careers. Moving the ball forward quickly will be the aim, with Milan 90 the only side in Serie A last term to register more direct attacks than Inzaghi's former side Lazio By comparison, Inter were third on that list with While the structure will remain largely the same, losing Lukaku and influential wing-back Achraf Hakimi — albeit with Edin Dzeko and Denzel Dumfries arriving — means Inzaghi will need to get more out of others if Inter are to retain their crown.
The man tasked with replacing Inzaghi at Lazio is Sarri, who endured mixed fortunes during his most recent two stints in Serie A with Napoli and Juventus.
Having come so close to ending Juve's stranglehold on the title in while at Napoli, the year-old won the Europa League in his solitary season at Chelsea and was then given just 14 months at the Allianz Stadium. His stint in Turin came to an early end despite leading Juve to top spot, his style of play — coined 'Sarriball' — deemed too distant from what Juventus typically expect from a head coach more on that later!
At the Stadio Olimpico, Sarri will have more freedom to put his spin on things as he looks to build or improve upon last season's sixth-placed finish. A back four, rather than the three-man defence Inzaghi favoured, can be expected.
Sarri teams are known for their verticality, meaning they like to move the ball forwards. Lazio, as already touched upon, are a good fit in that regard. They ranked lowest in the top eight last season for build-up attacks 83 , which is defined as the number of open play sequences that contain 10 or more passes and either ends in a shot or has at least one touch in the opposition box. The big question, though, is whether Sarri has the personnel to turn Lazio into top-four regulars in the same way he did at Napoli.
With Immobile taking on the Gonzalo Higuain role up top, it might just be a possibility. While a lot of clubs mentioned are entering the unknown with their managerial appointments, Juve know exactly what they are getting in Allegri. The year-old guided Juve to five straight Serie A titles and two Champions League finals between and , having also previously lifted the Scudetto at Milan.
Only one coach in the Bianconeri's history, Giovanni Trapattoni, has overseen more league games than Allegri's , while Juve's two highest-scoring seasons dating back as far as have both come under the stewardship of the returning favourite.
This Juve side has changed since Allegri's first stint, though, and it may take him time to make this team his own again following the aforementioned reigns of Sarri and Pirlo. Whereas Sarri and Pirlo were a little complex with their tactics and what they expected from players, Allegri will take a different approach. That is not to say Juve will not be able to chop and change things under Allegri, as they did in his previous spell. One aspect that will surely differ from last season is the number of goals Juve score.
They found the net an underwhelming 56 times from open play last season from an expected goals return xG of By comparison, champions Inter scored 65 open play goals from a near identical xG as Juve of With the prolific Cristiano Ronaldo set to stay at the club for at least one more season, there is hope of reclaiming the title this time around. The highest-profile of the incoming coaches in Serie A this season, Mourinho arrives with his 'Special One' status still intact in Italy thanks to his success at Inter a little over a decade ago.
Mourinho won as many league titles in two seasons at San Siro two as he has in the 11 years since one , while also lifting the second of his Champions League crowns, the Coppa Italia and Supercoppa Italiana during that trophy-laden stay. The Portuguese won 62 per cent of his matches at Inter but that win rate has steadily declined and he won just Mourinho's sides were so often hard to beat, but Spurs lost 13 times in under him, making it his worst ever season in that regard and he did not even see it all the way through.
But could his career take a turn in the right direction in Rome? Mourinho's tactics have remained largely consistent throughout his career, no matter the club or country he is coaching in. The back three largely favoured by Paulo Fonseca will become a back four and there will be particular emphasis on Bryan Cristante, a typical Mourinho player in many ways, to shield the defence and get the ball forward. The addition of Tammy Abraham from Chelsea is clearly a Mourinho signing, helping the fill the void left by Edin Dzeko, but Mou's pragmatic approach is surely a concern for a Roma side that looked better offensively than defensively last season.
Finding the correct balance will be key, and that ultimately depends on whether Roma have hired the pre Mourinho or post. With spells at seven different Italian clubs under his belt, including two years at Inter, Spalletti certainly does not lack of experience. After two years out of the game, however, the year-old has to quickly prove he is not yesterday's man. Spalletti made clear when he took over from Gennaro Gattuso that he will look to operate with a , though on the basis of pre-season it may well be a more familiar come the opening day.
Napoli had no problems scoring goals last time out, with no team managing more shots from open play than their and only Atalanta 77 and Inter 65 scoring more from non-set-piece situations than their Pressing is a big part of Spalletti's game and that makes Napoli a good fit as they ranked joint-second in Serie A last season for goals scored from high turnovers nine , behind only Atalanta There are already a few rumblings of discontent behind the scenes with regards to transfer activity, but a kind fixture list ensures that Spalletti can hit the ground running in his quest to guide Napoli back into the Champions League.
Barely a month has passed since Giorgio Chiellini lifted the European Championship trophy at Wembley, and it would seem logical to expect Serie A to begin amid high fanfare. This may prove to be the case, as the opening weekend of the season arrives, but a major talent drain from the Italian league since last term cannot be ignored. To put those losses into greater context, of the Serie A end-of-season award winners, that is the MVP, the top defender and the leading goalkeeper all exiting the league.
Sweeping changes on the coaching benches also add to uncertainty as the new campaign begins, with a much-changed Inter hoping to successfully defend their title. After the folly of handing dugout rookie Andrea Pirlo the reins before last season, Juventus look to be on firmer ground this time with Massimiliano Allegri back as head coach. They have brought in Manuel Locatelli from Sassuolo, primed to play a Pirlo-like role on the pitch, and it seems Cristiano Ronaldo will hang around for the final year of his contract.
Rumours continue to encircle the five-time Ballon d'Or winner, but Allegri can likely count on his reliable flow of goals, just as he did for the season — Ronaldo's debut campaign in Turin and the end of the line for Allegri in his first stint as coach.
A six-time Scudetto winner, Allegri will look to get the best out of wingers Dejan Kulusevski and Federico Chiesa as they enter their second seasons with the Bianconeri, while it remains to be seen how Paulo Dybala performs as he enters the final year of his deal.
Plagued by injury last season, Dybala started just 14 Serie A games, but results were often perkier when he played. Of those 14 games, Juventus won 10, drew three and lost one, with a points-per-game average of 2. The win percentage of Social media tells us Antonio Conte has been thoroughly enjoying his summer, topping up his tan and seemingly showing no regret over his Inter exit, which came in May, just weeks after he guided the Nerazzurri to title glory.
Conte reportedly left amid concern the club planned to raise funds with sales that have duly come to fruition. The loss of striker Lukaku feels like a body blow, given his influence, and persistent rumours suggest Lautaro Martinez could also move on.
Achraf Hakimi is another big loss, but, as with Lukaku, a big fee was banked as the right-back proved a one-season wonder in Italy. In have come coach Simone Inzaghi, who impressed at Lazio, while Edin Dzeko will be a straight swap for Lukaku in the forward line, albeit unlikely to carry quite the same threat. It is hard to see Inter repeating last season's success, and the comedown could be painful. They exceeded their expected goals total last season, scoring 84 goals against an xG of They possess plenty of quality still, but they have likely lost Christian Eriksen for the long term too after his cardiac arrest on Denmark duty at Euro His survival was everything in June, and now his recovery is all-important.
The knock-on effect is that Inter have lost a player who became important over the second half of the season. So much has changed since that title was secured. Landing Hakan Calhanoglu on a free from Milan looks like great business, but consolidation with a top-four finish may be their limit in the new campaign.
That, and being sure to secure city bragging rights again. Milan rather feel like the odd ones out, keeping faith with Stefano Pioli. A whirlwind of change has swept through Serie A, and it will be worth watching to see quite what impact Mourinho can have on a side who finished 16 points short of the Champions League places last term.
Spells at Real Madrid, Manchester United, Chelsea and Tottenham have followed, but Mourinho's cachet has diminished over the past decade. Tammy Abraham has followed him in swapping London for Rome, with the Chelsea striker arriving, along with Eldor Shomurodov from Genoa, to pep up an attack depleted by the loss of Dzeko. Rui Patricio has joined fellow Portuguese Mourinho, and the goalkeeper's arrival from Wolves could prove a fine signing.
Roma won just five Serie A away games last term, and have only had fewer once in a season beginning in the 20th century 4 in , while their shot conversion rate of Most important for Mourinho, perhaps, will be to build on Roma's poor duel success rate The duel figures are important and were the worst Roma had managed in at least 15 years, while the error count will be simply intolerable to the new boss.
Only Bologna committed so many costly errors also Mourinho has his work cut out. It has been another off-season of change in Italy, but Serie A returns this week and another intriguing campaign awaits. Inter were champions last term, ending Juventus' run of nine straight Scudetti, but they have not been able to keep their title-winning side together. Romelu Lukaku is gone, as is coach Antonio Conte, while Massimiliano Allegri has returned to Juve to tee up another tilt.
The Stats Perform League Prediction Model, created by Stats Perform AI using Opta data, has analysed the division ahead of the new season to assign percentages to potential outcomes for each club. The model estimates the probability of each match outcome win, draw or loss based on teams' attacking and defensive qualities, which considers four years' worth of results, with weighting based on recency and the quality of opposition.
The season is then simulated 10, times to calculate the likelihood of each outcome. Read on to see who can realistically compete with Inter and who should be looking over their shoulders Inter might have lost some key men, but the model is backing a team that finished second and then first to lead the way again. The Nerazzurri are given the best chance of taking the title Afrojack , Tom Staar , Shermanology , Kryder. Wall Recordings.
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